| Poker at its core is about
extracting the largest amount of value out of the smallest statistical edges. Every time you, as a player, let that small advantage pass you by
because you fear being wrong, you are giving up large profits and, more importantly, are
allowing your poker game to contain missed opportunity. This mistake equates to a losing
battle at the lifetime poker game, which extends much further then a one day session at
the tables. If you are leaving money that could be your own in front of other players
nearly every time you play, that's a lot of missing money from your bankroll at the end of
the year.
I am talking about checking the river when you most likely
should be betting.
A value bet is when you make a bet, more often than not, on
the river, which is small enough to warrant a call from your opponent.
A quick example is: Four players see a flop of 4-8-2
rainbow. The action is checked around. The turn comes another 2, and the action is checked
around again. The river comes a queen, and the action is checked to you. With the pot at
$100, you bet something like $25-$40 holding A-Q and looking for a call from a smaller
pair or even ace high.
You aren't looking to break the players, just looking for a
little extra profit on your hand that is highly likely to be best.
However, there is a quote that you see in almost every
poker book that preaches being careful to never bet a hand when the only hands that can
call you are going to be hands that beat you. The phrase is right in context, but I think
many players confuse this tip to mean that they should never bet the river, and because of
this, they often miss opportunities to value bet where their hand could likely have made
them extra profit. Remember, poker comes down to the winners being the players that make
the least amount of mistakes, and winning players extract the most money when they have a
statistical advantage.
When you are on the river and faced with a marginal
decision on whether to check or bet, don't always take the safe way out. It often depends
on the situation you are being faced with. However, there are some factors you can
consider when deciding the proper way to play your hand.
- What do you think is your opponent's range of hands? When
determining whether or not to bet, you need to walk through the hand like you normally
would, and use all the action up until that point to figure out what your opponent might
have.
Here's an example: If the flop came down with two of the same suit, and a player threw out
what looked to be a small feel bet looking for info or a pot builder-sized bet looking to
get more money in the middle and then checked the rest of the way when the flush draw
never showed up, then you can assume that your opponent may have just had the flush draw,
in which case a bet wouldnt serve you much good unless you figured he was holding
the ace of that suit in his hand.
- What type of opponent(s) you are dealing with. If you have
the wannabe "table general" in the pot, the kind of guy that calls people and
says he wants to "keep them honest," then a little bet of anywhere from 25-50
percent of the pot should have his money in there with ace high to look you up.
- Consider the texture of the board. If you had determined
that your hand was good on the turn, then a brick falls on the river, you can be pretty
sure you still have the best hand. However, if the board was reading 8-9-6 with two
spades, and the turn and river came up 10-J with the jack of spades, whether you flopped
hard with 7-10 or not, you can't feel comfortable putting more money into the pot. Chances
are that quote about only being called with the better hand is probably going to ring true
to form in this spot.
While it may be safe to take the easy way out and check on
the river, bear in mind that poker is an easy game to learn, but it's almost impossible to
master.
Knowing when to bet for value and when to check will
ultimately separate the winners from the losers. The moral of this article is to make sure
that you aren't giving anything away for free - the pot, a look at your cards or your game
plan. If you aren't betting the river and getting called by a better hand at least some of
the time, then you probably aren't betting the river enough. |